Method of Serious Traffic Incidents Analysis with the Use of Stochastic Timed Petri Nets
AbstractOne of the primary sources of information and inspiration in the creation of new, more secure solutions in traffic organization are the occurrences with most serious consequences called accidents (air), serious accidents (rail) or catastrophes (road, sea). Accidents investigation is usually conducted in terms of searching for the reasons of these events and to make preventive recommendations aimed at elimination of these causes. In this paper, it is proposed to draw more attention to the events of somewhat less severity of the consequences ] serious incidents (air), traffic conflicts (road) and incidents (rail, maritime). A model of real serious traffic incident, created with the use of stochastic, timed Petri nets is presented. Simulation experiments were carried out, which allowed for determination of the probability of transformation of the incident into the accident. The proposed method of analyzing serious traffic incidents also allows to determine the effectiveness of the barriers that have prevented an accident in a real occurrence.
|Journal series||TransNav -The International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation, ISSN 2083-6473|
|Publication size in sheets||0.5|
|Keywords in English||Safety Barriers, Traffic Incident Analysis, Serious Traffic Incidents, Accidents Investigation, Stochastic Timed Petri Nets, Air Traffic, Transport Safety, Traffic Incidents in Transport|
|Score|| = 7.0, 05-09-2019, ArticleFromJournal|
= 12.0, 05-09-2019, ArticleFromJournal
|Citation count*||1 (2020-09-19)|
* presented citation count is obtained through Internet information analysis and it is close to the number calculated by the Publish or Perish system.