Travel Time Prediction for Trams in Warsaw

Adam Zychowski , Konstanty Junosza-Szaniawski , Aleksander Kosicki

Abstract

The paper presents a comparison between different prediction methods for trams time travels in Warsaw. Predictions are constructed based on historical trams GPS positions. Three different prediction approaches were implemented and compared with the official timetables and real time travels. Obtained results show that the official timetables provides only approximated time travel especially in rush hours. Proposed prediction methods outperform the official schedule in the term of time travel precision and may be used as a more accurate source of travel time for passengers.
Author Adam Zychowski
Adam Zychowski,,
-
, Konstanty Junosza-Szaniawski (FMIS / DAC)
Konstanty Junosza-Szaniawski,,
- Department of Algebra and Combinatorics
, Aleksander Kosicki
Aleksander Kosicki,,
-
Pages53-62
Publication size in sheets0.5
Book Kurzyński Marek, Woźniak Michał, Burduk Robert (eds.): PROCEEDINGS OF THE 10TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER RECOGNITION SYSTEMS CORES 2017, Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol. 578, 2018, ISBN 978-3-319-59162-9
Keywords in Polishtransport, predykcja czasu podróży, sieci neuronowe, systemy wsparcia decyzji
Keywords in EnglishTransportation, Travel time prediction, Neural network, Decision support system
Abstract in PolishPublikacja zawiera porównanie trzy metod predykcji czasu podróży tramwajami w Warszawie. Prognozy są skonstruowane w oparciu o historyczne dane GPS tramwajów warszawskich. Wszystkie trzy metody zostały zaimplementowane i porównane z oficjalnym rozkładem. Otrzymane wyniki pokazują, istotne różnice realizowanego i planowanego rozkładu jazdy, zwłaszcza w godzinach szczytu. Zaproponowane metody mogą być użyteczne dla pasażerów.
DOIDOI:10.1007/978-3-319-59162-9_6
URL https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-59162-9_6
Languageen angielski
Score (nominal)15
ScoreMinisterial score = 15.0, 18-09-2018, BookChapterSeriesAndMatConf
Ministerial score (2013-2016) = 15.0, 18-09-2018, BookChapterSeriesAndMatConf
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