Air Traffic Incidents Analysis with the Use of Fuzzy Sets
Jacek Skorupski , Michał Lower , Jan Magott
AbstractIn safety, reliability as well as risk analysis and management, information often is uncertain and imprecise. The approach to air incident analysis under uncertain and imprecise information presented in our paper is inspired by the possibility theory. Notably, in such analyses these are both: static and dynamic components that have to be included. As part of this work, static analysis of a serious incident has been performed. In order to do this, probability scale which is based on fuzzy set theory has been given. The scenarios of transformation of incident into accident have been found and their fuzzy probabilities have been calculated. Finally, it has been shown that elimination of one of premises for transformation of the incident into accident significantly reduces the possibility of this transformation.
|Publication size in sheets||0.55|
|Book||Rutkowski Leszek, Korytkowski Marcin, Scherer Rafal, Tadeusiewicz Ryszard, Zadeh Lotfi A., Zurada Jacek (eds.): Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing. Part I, Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence, vol. 7894, 2013, Springer, ISBN 978-3-642-38657-2, [978-3-642-38658-9], 637 p., DOI:10.1007/978-3-642-38658-9|
|Keywords in English||serious incident, fuzzy probability, events tree, fuzzy inference, air traffic safety|
|Score|| = 10.0, 16-01-2020, BookChapterSeriesAndMatConfByConferenceseries|
= 15.0, 16-01-2020, BookChapterSeriesAndMatConfByConferenceseries
|Publication indicators||= 11; = 9|
* presented citation count is obtained through Internet information analysis and it is close to the number calculated by the Publish or Perish system.